Investment Strategy
Published: April 2023 Recent decades have been characterized primarily by closed systems, both financially and online. The financial system as we know it has been a rather closed system for ages, consisting of various silos. Banks and brokerages operate permissioned ledgers. Opening accounts with institutions is a permissioned activity. … [Read more...]
Published February 2023 The U.S. Federal Reserve is now operating at a financial loss, and is months away from having negative tangible equity for the first time in modern history. This article explores how we got here and to what extent any of this matters for savers and investors. Commercial Bank Assets and Liabilities A commercial bank … [Read more...]
Published December 2022 In the wake of the FTX/Alameda collapse, which came after prior collapses of Luna, Celsius, Voyager, and Three Arrows Capital, many crypto industry analysts have pointed towards DeFi ("Decentralized Finance") as a potential solution. This article dissects some of the nuances of that view, grants that certain … [Read more...]
Published October 2022 Back in June 2021, I wrote a longform piece on the energy sector called, "The Case for a Longer-term Oil and Gas Bull Market". I followed this up with a shorter piece in July 2022 called "Energy: The Area Under the Curve", which emphasized that it was the integral of energy prices (i.e. the time spent elevated) that is … [Read more...]
Published: August 2022 This article examines the relationship between a monetary asset being a store of value vs being a medium of exchange. Specifically, it focuses on the scaling method of the Bitcoin network as its main example, but also takes a broad look at the history of trade-offs in the cryptocurrency space as well to see why a … [Read more...]