I'm excited to announce that my new book, Broken Money, is now available. For now it can be purchased in hardcover, paperback, and ebook formats on Amazon here, and there is an audiobook version on the way. Eventually it will expand to other distribution partners as well. The topic is about the past, present, and future of money, and why the … [Read more...]

Published August 2023 For the past three decades (and in some ways stretching back up to five decades), the U.S. has been in a relative industrial decline. More specifically, the share of the U.S. economy that has been involved with manufacturing and related physical industry has declined, and the share of total global manufacturing held by … [Read more...]

Published: June 2023 In prior articles and newsletters, I've explored the causes of consumer price inflation over time. In short, the rate of consumer price inflation in an economy comes from a combination of 1) money supply growth and 2) significant changes in productivity and/or resource abundance. -Periods of fast bank lending or large … [Read more...]

Published February 2023 The U.S. Federal Reserve is now operating at a financial loss, and is months away from having negative tangible equity for the first time in modern history. This article explores how we got here and to what extent any of this matters for savers and investors. Commercial Bank Assets and Liabilities A commercial bank … [Read more...]

Published October 2022 Back in June 2021, I wrote a longform piece on the energy sector called, "The Case for a Longer-term Oil and Gas Bull Market". I followed this up with a shorter piece in July 2022 called "Energy: The Area Under the Curve", which emphasized that it was the integral of energy prices (i.e. the time spent elevated) that is … [Read more...]