The cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio of a stock market is one of the standard metrics used to evaluate whether a market is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly-valued. This metric was developed by Robert Shiller and popularized during the Dotcom Bubble when he argued (correctly) that equities were highly overvalued. For that … [Read more...]

Contrarian investing means to invest against the crowd, and to be skeptical of general market sentiment. It’s an investing strategy that rewards patience, confidence, and rationality with high returns, and is the strategy that most of history’s world-class investors applied to earn their outsized gains. It goes against human nature to stand … [Read more...]