Investment Strategy
U.S. Treasury bonds (and bills and notes) are often thought of as risk-free investments. This is true in a sense; the U.S. Treasury has always fully paid back its debts in dollar-denominated nominal terms. However, what many investors miss is the fact that the purchasing power of those bonds is not guaranteed. They can lose real purchasing power … [Read more...]
In early October, I published my analysis on why the U.S. dollar is likely in a topping process and that my base case was that it would be weaker in 2020 and beyond. You can read that analysis here. The summary is that the dollar has been strong for the past five years, despite its fundamental problems, due to a global dollar liquidity shortage … [Read more...]
Due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, as well as between certain other nations, the concept of a trade deficit is now front and center in financial media. This article takes a look at why trade deficits (eventually) matter, and how they can factor into an investment strategy. Key Terms Defined Trade … [Read more...]
Many investors prefer not to hold any individual stocks, and instead enjoy the instant diversification of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Additionally, even if you do hold individual stocks like me, ETFs are still great for added diversification. I've personally always used a combination of stocks and ETFs in my portfolio, because they complement … [Read more...]
The big topic in financial media these days is whether there is an economic recession coming or not. Multiple countries around the world, including the United States, are starting to flash some recession warning signs. A well-structured portfolio doesn't usually need many changes to survive a recession and come out stronger on the other side. … [Read more...]