Lyn Alden

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How Market Capitalization Works (And a Look at Rolling Bubbles)

How Market Capitalization Works (And a Look at Rolling Bubbles)

I receive a lot of questions about market capitalization, or "market cap" and how it applies to various asset classes such as stocks, gold, or bitcoin. In particular, transfers between asset classes seem to be a somewhat unintuitive concept, and thus worthy of review and examples. The key reason to understand market capitalization dynamics is … [Read more...]

Bitcoin: Fee-Based Security Modeling

Bitcoin: Fee-Based Security Modeling

Originally published: March 2021 Over the past decade, the bitcoin network has been the most secure public blockchain. This is because it has by far the highest market capitalization and hash rate in the asset class, along with customized hardware required to mine it, meaning that the cost for a potential attacker to try to control 51% of the … [Read more...]

Analyzing Bitcoin’s Network Effect

Analyzing Bitcoin’s Network Effect

Originally published: March 2021 One of the most powerful things to look for in an investment is a network effect. A network effect is an attribute of a company or other system such that as more people use the network, the network becomes exponentially more valuable for each user. It's one of the strongest economic moats that a system can … [Read more...]

Economic Japanification: Not What You Think

Economic Japanification: Not What You Think

"Japanification" in the economic sense refers to the stagnation that Japan's economy has faced over the past three decades, and is typically applied in reference to the concern among economists that other developed countries will follow along the same path. As a visual, here's Japan's long-term nominal GDP in US dollar terms: Chart … [Read more...]

Bitcoin: Addressing the Ponzi Scheme Characterization

Bitcoin: Addressing the Ponzi Scheme Characterization

Originally published: January 2021 One of the concerns I've seen aimed at Bitcoin is the claim that it's a Ponzi scheme. The argument suggests that because the Bitcoin network is continually reliant on new people buying in, that eventually it will collapse in price as new buyers are exhausted. So, this article takes a serious look at the … [Read more...]

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