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Presidential Elections vs the Economy and Stock Market

Presidential Elections vs the Economy and Stock Market

Originally published: October 2020 During election season, a big portion of financial media news coverage shifts to presidential election outcomes. These election seasons tend to be good for media ratings and clicks, but to what extent do they matter for investors? Does accurately predicting the result of a presidential election generate … [Read more...]

A Century of Fiscal and Monetary Policy: Inflation vs Deflation

A Century of Fiscal and Monetary Policy: Inflation vs Deflation

Published: September 2020 There has been a lot of discussion lately about how effective monetary policy can be. In my view, the big debate between fiscal policy and monetary policy, or inflation vs deflation, mostly comes down to looking at a long enough historical timeline to see the full context. The effectiveness of monetary policy, … [Read more...]

The Big Tax Shift

The Big Tax Shift

For several decades, there has been a gradual but significant shift in U.S. tax policy that favored strong stock performance on one hand, and the offshoring of many U.S. jobs on the other. Here is a chart that captures it well: Data Sources: U.S. Bureau for Economic Analysis, U.S. Treasury, Tax Policy Center This article examines that … [Read more...]

3 Reasons I’m Investing in Bitcoin

3 Reasons I’m Investing in Bitcoin

Originally published: July 16, 2020 Blockchain-based cryptocurrencies have been around for over a decade, since the release of Bitcoin in early 2009. While the asset class has grown considerably, it remains relatively small and highly volatile, so deciding whether to insert a small bit of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrency exposure into a … [Read more...]

4 Simple Reasons to Buy Gold

4 Simple Reasons to Buy Gold

Published: July 2020 In my view, there's still a good case for including gold and gold stocks in a portfolio, despite their recent period of outperformance. In other words, I still think we're in the first half of this gold bull move from 2015/2016 lows, rather than the tail end. Chart Source: St. Louis Fed I added gold and gold … [Read more...]

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